From fivethirtyeight.com
Kamala Harris : Favorability Polls
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The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.
#dems #VoteBlue #harris2024 #harriswalz #harriswalz2024
on Aug 1
From fivethirtyeight.com
Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?
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538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing Democrat Kamala Harris’s and Republican Donald Trump’s chances of winning.
on Sat, 10PM
From fivethirtyeight.com
Explore The Ways Trump Or Harris Could Win The 2024 Election
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Use our "what-if" tool to pick a winner in each state and see how it would change 538's 2024 presidential election forecast.
on Sat, 8PM
From fivethirtyeight.com
Supreme Court : Approval Polls
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The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.
on Sep 11
From fivethirtyeight.com
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The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.
on Sep 9
From fivethirtyeight.com
Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts
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Welcome to our Election Update for Thursday, Sept. 6! After reaching a new high of 4 in 5 on Tuesday, Democrats’ chances of winning a House majority in our fore…
on Aug 15
From fivethirtyeight.com
How Red Or Blue Is Your State?
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Last fall, Joe Biden became the first Democratic presidential candidate to win Arizona since 1996 and the first to carry Georgia since 1992. But does this mean …
on Aug 9
From fivethirtyeight.com
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The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.
on Aug 9
From fivethirtyeight.com
Why Lauren Boebert Didn’t Cruise To Victory
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UPDATE (Nov. 18, 2022, 4:21 p.m.): On Friday, Adam Frisch conceded the race in Colorado’s 3rd District to Rep. Lauren Boebert. Though she leads by just 0.16 per…
on Aug 9
From fivethirtyeight.com
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Graphics by Ella Koeze Stop me if you’ve heard this one before: Independent voters will decide the election. Or better yet: Moderate voters will decide the elec…
on Aug 8
From fivethirtyeight.com
Quiz: How well do you know the top dogs of politics?
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Take a break from the horse race and match these dogs to their political owners.
on Aug 1
From fivethirtyeight.com
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In their Group F World Cup match late last month, Argentina and Iran were still deadlocked after 90 minutes. With the game in stoppage time and the score tied a…
on Jul 27
From fivethirtyeight.com
Kamala Harris : Approval Polls
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The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.
on Jul 18
From fivethirtyeight.com
How Our 2022 Midterm Forecasts Performed
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Let’s get this out of the way up front: There was a wide gap between the perception of how well polls and data-driven forecasts did in 2022 and the reality of h…
on Jul 17
From fivethirtyeight.com
Pennsylvania : President: general election : 2024 Polls
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The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.
on Jul 13
From fivethirtyeight.com
Washington : Governor : 2024 Polls
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The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.
on Jul 12
From fivethirtyeight.com
North Carolina : Governor : 2024 Polls
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The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.
on Jul 9
From fivethirtyeight.com
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Latest forecast of the 2020 presidential election between President Donald Trump and Joe Biden by Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight
on Jul 8
From fivethirtyeight.com
Who Won The First Biden-Trump Presidential Debate?
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We’re partnering with Ipsos to poll voters before and after the candidates take the stage.
on Jun 29
From fivethirtyeight.com
Texas : U.S. Senate : 2024 Polls
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The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.
on Jun 28
From fivethirtyeight.com
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FiveThirtyEight is tracking Donald Trump’s approval ratings throughout his presidency.
on Jun 23
From fivethirtyeight.com
Everything About Mars Is The Worst
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At first glance, Mars seems pretty nice. The sun warms its rusty surface to a balmy 70 degrees Fahrenheit during the day, and gentle breezes ruffle its dirt. Sp…
on Jun 23
From fivethirtyeight.com
National : President: general election : 2024 Polls
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The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.
on Jun 23
From fivethirtyeight.com
The Polls Were Historically Accurate In 2022
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Let’s give a big round of applause to the pollsters. Measuring public opinion is, in many ways, harder than ever — and yet, the polling industry just had one of…
on May 23
From fivethirtyeight.com
Why Kevin Durant’s Shoes Keep Falling Off
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IT’S DEC. 6 in Charlotte, North Carolina, and a sold-out crowd files into the Spectrum Center. The world champion Golden State Warriors are in town for their lo…
on May 15
From fivethirtyeight.com
FiveThirtyEight Podcasts – FiveThirtyEight
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FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.
on May 6
From fivethirtyeight.com
Wisconsin : President: general election : 2024 Polls
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The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.
on May 3
From fivethirtyeight.com
The 8 Types Of Democrats And Republicans In The House
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We analyzed voting patterns to see if members actually vote with their caucuses.
on May 1
From fivethirtyeight.com
Why Being ‘Anti-Media’ Is Now Part Of The GOP Identity
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There’s little question that the media is one of the least trusted institutions in Republican circles. In the past two decades, trust in traditional media has p…
on May 1
From fivethirtyeight.com
Why QAnon Has Attracted So Many White Evangelicals
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One week after his first drop, Q was already quoting scripture. “The LORD is my shepherd, I lack nothing,” Q posted on the imageboard site 4chan. The line was f…
on Apr 1
From fivethirtyeight.com
Robert F. Kennedy : Favorability Polls
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The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.
on Mar 26
From fivethirtyeight.com
The Comey Letter Probably Cost Clinton The Election
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So why won't the media admit as much?
on Mar 23
From fivethirtyeight.com
How To Fill Out Your Men’s NCAA Tournament Bracket Like A Pro
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The opening act of the 2022-23 men’s college basketball season was characterized by the rise of unfamiliar top dogs, the preseason favorite falling flat and the…
on Mar 17
From fivethirtyeight.com
Why Democrats Keep Bringing Up Voting Rights
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In 2021, Democrats tried a number of times to pass federal voting rights legislation, and each time, it went something like this: Bills cleared the House only t…
on Mar 8
From fivethirtyeight.com
Michigan : President: Republican primary : 2024 Polls
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The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.
on Mar 2
From fivethirtyeight.com
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To quote the great political philosopher Cyndi Lauper, “Money changes everything.” And nowhere is that proverb more taken to heart than in a federal election, w…
on Mar 1
From fivethirtyeight.com
New York 3rd District : U.S. House : 2024 Polls
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The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.
on Feb 14
From fivethirtyeight.com
How Much Football Is Even In A Football Broadcast?
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NFL telecasts include a smaller share of game action than in any other major sport -- even MLB.
on Feb 12
From fivethirtyeight.com
Voters Like A Political Party Until It Passes Laws
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It might not sound intuitive, but voters usually punish rather than reward parties that move policy to achieve their goals
on Feb 2
From fivethirtyeight.com
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The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.
on Feb 1
From fivethirtyeight.com
Why Trump Is Favored To Win The 2024 Republican Presidential Primary
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We don’t even know every result of 2022 yet, but the 2024 election has already begun. On Tuesday, former President Donald Trump announced that he would seek a s…
on Jan 29
From fivethirtyeight.com
Why Are There So Many Bats At Spurs Games?
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The flying mammals seem to have become season-ticket holders.
on Jan 28
From fivethirtyeight.com
California 47th District : U.S. House : 2024 Polls
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The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.
on Jan 23
From fivethirtyeight.com
How My Fitness Tracker Turned Me Against Myself
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The alarm was deafening. My coffin-shaped acrylics crawled from underneath the covers, searched for the stop button and quickly found my Apple Watch. I slapped …
on Jan 23
From fivethirtyeight.com
A Flawed Statistical Method Was Just Banned From A Major Sports Science Journal
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Sports performance is a difficult thing to study. There are only so many trained athletes available for experiments, and most of the measurements required to in…
on Jan 22
From fivethirtyeight.com
Who’s on track for the GOP nomination?
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538 estimated how many delegates each Republican presidential candidate needs to win in each primary, caucus or convention to win the GOP nomination.
on Jan 21
From fivethirtyeight.com
New Hampshire : President: Republican primary : 2024 Polls
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The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.
on Jan 20
From fivethirtyeight.com
What Happens When American Children Learn About Racism?
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Americans have spent over 150 years arguing about what kind of history we should teach to our children. In “Schoolbook Nation,” a book that examines the history…
on Jan 19
From fivethirtyeight.com
Where Marjorie Taylor Greene’s False Claim About COVID-19 And Obesity Came From
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This is the latest edition of our column that excavates the origins of public figures’ factually dubious comments. We explain what their claims are referring to…
on Jan 19
From fivethirtyeight.com
National : President: Republican primary : 2024 Polls
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The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.
on Jan 2