From theeyewall.com
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Headlines Milton is nearing hurricane strength as it begins to move eastward toward Florida The storm is forecast to rapidly intensify today and Monday as it encounters very warm seas The intensity…
#flwx #Florida #hurricane #milton
6h ago
From theeyewall.com
Lemony: A series of unfortunate Atlantic disturbances
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Headlines There are multiple areas to watch in the Atlantic, none of which is really a major concern in terms of development. The main place to watch is the Gulf of Mexico, where heavy rain in Loui…
on Sep 5
From theeyewall.com
Florida will be threatened by Tropical Depression 14, likely to become Hurricane Milton
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Headlines Tropical Depression 14 has formed this morning in the western Gulf of Mexico. It is expected to rapidly intensify late this weekend or early next week into a borderline major hurricane. T…
on Sat, 7PM
From theeyewall.com
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Headlines Tropical development potential is increasing in the Gulf again, as moisture Sunday-Monday may precede an organized system next week. It’s too soon to say exactly what may occur, but…
on Sat, 1AM
From theeyewall.com
Gulf tropical development risks remain modest as focus points to a Florida Peninsula rainstorm
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Headlines Tropical development in the Gulf remains possible but not entirely likely over the next 5 days or so. Regardless, the combination of a couple disturbances and the remnants of Pacific TD 1…
on Thu, 8PM
From theeyewall.com
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Headlines Disorganized showers and storms over the Gulf will become a disturbance this weekend. It will likely track east toward Florida. The current thinking is that it will have a low ceiling of …
on Wed, 7PM
From theeyewall.com
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Headlines Helene help continues to be desperately needed. Gulf development odds have stalled somewhat, but development of a sloppy system tracking east or northeast in the Gulf this weekend or next…
on Tue, 7PM
From theeyewall.com
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Headlines Help continues to be needed in parts of Appalachia after Hurricane Helene. We have a first-hand account from a reader. Potential tropical development this week in the Gulf continues to lo…
on Mon, 7PM
From theeyewall.com
Massive recovery ahead due to Helene, but the tropics remain somewhat busy
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Headlines Helene recovery is likely to take a very long time, and we have some links where you can donate. More rain the next couple days in Virginia and West Virginia. Another Gulf system is becom…
on Sep 29
From theeyewall.com
Helene slowly winding down as we take stock of calamitous flooding in the Southeast and look ahead
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As of 3 PM ET, there are 16 “catastrophic” Flash Flood Emergencies in effect across the Appalachians. They range from Virginia to North Carolina to Tennessee and South Carolina and Geor…
on Sep 27
From theeyewall.com
Helene drenching the Southeast and causing widespread severe flooding
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Ex-Hurricane, now Tropical Storm Helene is causing a historic flood event this morning all across the Southeast. I count no less than 10 flash flood emergencies as I write this between Georgia and …
on Sep 27
From theeyewall.com
Monstrous Hurricane Helene about to make landfall near Perry, FL on Thursday evening
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Hurricane Helene is about to make landfall by midnight, likely in Taylor County, FL, just south of Perry in the Big Bend as at least a 140 mph category 4 monster of a storm. There are too many supe…
on Sep 27
From theeyewall.com
Category 2 Hurricane Helene continuing to grow with little forecast change this morning
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What’s changed since last night No meaningful change to the forecast intensity, track, or impacts into Florida. A slight nudge east in the track in North Georgia. Helene is now a category 2 s…
on Sep 26
From theeyewall.com
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Changes since this morning Storm surge forecasts have been increased on the Florida coast with a surge as high as 20 feet expected between Carrabelle and the Suwannee River. Helene is expected to b…
on Sep 25
From theeyewall.com
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What’s changed since yesterday Helene’s forecast intensity as it approaches Florida has been increased a bit, with risk for further increase in the intensity forecast today. Folks betwe…
on Sep 25
From theeyewall.com
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Changes since this morning PTC 9 became Tropical Storm Helene and its satellite presentation has improved markedly since earlier today. Hurricane Warnings have been issued between Anclote River jus…
on Sep 25
From theeyewall.com
PTC 9 continues to get itself in order as we focus on the risks to Florida and beyond
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Headlines PTC 9 continues to fight off a little shear which is slowing its initial organization. As that relaxes, rapid intensification and organization should ensue, with PTC 9 expected to become …
on Sep 24
From theeyewall.com
A Monday evening update on PTC 9/Helene and a word about Tampa
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Headlines No major forecast changes with PTC 9/future Helene this evening. A major hurricane is now explicitly forecast by the National Hurricane Center. Watches now extend up to the Florida Keys. …
on Sep 24
From theeyewall.com
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Headlines Potential Tropical Cyclone 9 is likely to become a depression and/or tropical storm by tonight or tomorrow morning. It will accelerate north toward the coast of Florida, with a landfall l…
on Sep 23
From theeyewall.com
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Headlines Confidence is increasing in the formation of a tropical system in the southeastern Gulf of Mexico this week Current conditions in the eastern Gulf of Mexico support the possible developme…
on Sep 22
From theeyewall.com
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Headlines Odds of tropical development next week are increasing, likely beginning Tuesday or Wednesday. There is a growing consensus among modeling that this system has the potential to strengthen …
on Sep 21
From theeyewall.com
Taking a closer look at how next week’s Caribbean or Gulf development might behave
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Headlines Model support for development in the Caribbean or near the Yucatan is increasing next week with development likely to begin after this weekend. Models continue to disagree significantly o…
on Sep 20
From theeyewall.com
With Caribbean development several days out, how should we be assessing things?
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Headlines Today’s post shows how modeling is struggling to handle what may or may not happen in the Caribbean next week. At this point, we expect tropical development, but where that goes, at…
on Sep 18
From theeyewall.com
A quiet balance of the week before Caribbean shenanigans next week
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Headlines After flooding and strong winds in North Carolina, we look at why PTC 8 never became Tropical Storm Helene. Caribbean mischief is likely next week with details TBD. But it’s clear s…
on Sep 17
From theeyewall.com
Hurricane Francine on initial approach to Louisiana this morning
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Headlines Francine make its initial approach to the Louisiana coast as a high-end category 1 hurricane. Francine will make landfall late this afternoon or evening, likely between the Atchafalaya De…
on Sep 11
From theeyewall.com
New Orleans under a hurricane watch as Francine strengthens and nears central Louisiana coast
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Headlines As of 7 pm CT, Francine has become a hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico with 75 mph sustained winds The storm will likely make landfall as a Category 1 or Category 2 hurricane on Wednesday a…
on Sep 11
From theeyewall.com
Francine starting to organize and turn NNE toward Louisiana, with a slight eastward adjustment today
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Headlines Francine is slowly organizing itself today and has turned NNE off the coast of Mexico. The storm is expected to become a hurricane tonight as it tracks toward Louisiana. There has been a …
on Sep 10
From theeyewall.com
Francine still aiming for Acadiana on Wednesday as a feisty hurricane
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Headlines Francine continues to strengthen this evening, and it is expected to eventually intensify into a category 2 hurricane sometime later tomorrow or early Wednesday before leveling off just b…
on Sep 10
From theeyewall.com
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Headlines PTC 6 is now Tropical Storm Francine with 50 mph max winds. Francine will accelerate north, then northeast over the next 48 hours, likely making landfall in central Louisiana on Wednesday…
on Sep 9
From theeyewall.com
A tropical storm or hurricane is likely in the western Gulf of Mexico this week
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Headlines Invest 91L is expected to develop into a tropical storm or hurricane in the western Gulf of Mexico by midweek. The track forecast is generally pointed toward the extreme upper coast of Te…
on Sep 8
From theeyewall.com
Odds of development in the southern Gulf and heavy coastal rainfall increasing next week
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Headlines Development of some sort of tropical system is becoming increasingly likely in the western Gulf next week. There are two general thoughts on outcome: Either a better organized system that…
on Sep 7
From theeyewall.com
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Headlines Invest 90L will drift south into the weekend and eventually partner up with a tropical wave moving into the Bay of Campeche. Development odds are up to 40% on that as it tries to get star…
on Sep 7
From theeyewall.com
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Headlines A tropical wave in the Caribbean maintains about a 30 percent chance to develop in the coming days. Model guidance doesn’t quite eliminate that wave as a potential area to monitor f…
on Sep 3
From theeyewall.com
Tropical wave bound for the Caribbean in no hurry to put itself together
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Headlines Model support for tropical development in the Caribbean has fallen off a bit since yesterday, but the wave that moves through there next week does still bear watching. Low pressure in the…
on Sep 1
From theeyewall.com
Odds of Caribbean development inch up next week with few details available at this point
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Headlines Tropical development, while not likely in the Gulf cannot be entirely ruled out as heavy rain will continue to pile up for portions of coastal Texas and Louisiana. The next wave in the At…
on Aug 31
From theeyewall.com
Heading into the holiday weekend with more questions than answers in the Atlantic basin
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Headlines Sluggish tropical development is a low possibility in the northwest Gulf of Mexico as low pressure forms off the Texas and Louisiana coasts. Though a serious system is not expected to dev…
on Aug 30
From theeyewall.com
A tropical wave in the Atlantic is moving due west, but its future is unclear
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Headlines All eyes are on a system in the tropical Atlantic It is not clear whether this system will ultimately develop as it tracks toward the Caribbean Sea Elsewhere the tropics are quiet, but th…
on Aug 29
From theeyewall.com
Gulf of Mexico trying to bring some noise as we ease our way into a busier period
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Headlines Slow tropical development is becoming a growing possibility in the western Gulf of Mexico heading into next week. Though there are no signs of rapid development, any organized tropical sy…
on Aug 28
From theeyewall.com
Atlantic aiming to awaken after August nap, as we watch east of the islands
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Headlines Tropical development remains possible next week just east of the Caribbean islands. No signs of anything imminently bad or significant yet, but it’ll be the primary area to watch. T…
on Aug 27
From theeyewall.com
Change may be in sight in the Atlantic as we march into September but not this week
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Headlines No tropical development is expected this week in the Atlantic. A tropical wave has a growing chance to develop next week just east of the Caribbean islands and is worth watching. The over…
on Aug 26
From theeyewall.com
Atlantic slumbers on, while Tropical Storm Hone in the Pacific will swipe at Hawaii
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Headlines The Atlantic remains quiet for the foreseeable future. Tropical Storm Hone will bring heavy rain and strong winds to parts of Hawaii later this week. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect f…
on Aug 23
From theeyewall.com
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Headlines Ernesto now beginning to bear down on Bermuda. Heavy rain, strong winds likely well into tomorrow there, as Ernesto slows down and crawls past. Ernesto will brush Newfoundland on the way …
on Aug 23
From theeyewall.com
Hurricane Ernesto being challenged by some dry air as it plots a course toward Bermuda
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Headlines Hurricane Ernesto prompts Hurricane Warnings for Bermuda as it tracks in that direction. Look for somewhat prolonged wind, surf, and rainfall impacts in Bermuda beginning tonight into Fri…
on Aug 15
From theeyewall.com
Ernesto, now a hurricane pulls away toward Bermuda while dousing Puerto Rico with flooding rain
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Headlines Hurricane Ernesto delivering torrential rain and flooding to Puerto Rico. Ernesto will continue to pull away north of the Caribbean, relaxing impacts there. The hurricane will track towar…
on Aug 14
From theeyewall.com
Impacts in the islands from Ernesto should be mostly manageable as it passes through
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Editor’s note: PTC 5 is now Tropical Storm Ernesto, which has little to no impact on the discussion below, as this was expected today or tomorrow. Headlines Potential Tropical Cyclone 5 will …
on Aug 13
From theeyewall.com
Invest 98L may stir up some trouble in the northeast Caribbean before likely turning out to sea
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Headlines Invest 98L is likely to develop in the next couple days as it tracks toward the northeast Caribbean. Interests between Puerto Rico and Guadeloupe should be preparing for at least a tropic…
on Aug 11
From theeyewall.com
As Debby departs, we check on the odds of the next Atlantic wave becoming Ernesto
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Headlines Debby is causing localized catastrophic flooding in parts of northern Pennsylvania and the Southern Tier of New York. Debby’s remnants will exit into Canada tonight, bringing more f…
on Aug 9
From theeyewall.com
Debby will exit with more flooding, as we then refocus our attention back to the Atlantic
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Headlines Debby is moving inland across South Carolina, spreading heavy rain and flash flooding across the Carolinas. Significant rain and flooding will continue in North Carolina and expand into V…
on Aug 8
From theeyewall.com
Expansive Debby to keep flooding risks going in the Carolinas before coming northward
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Headlines Debby will cause heavy rain and more flooding in parts of the Carolinas today and tomorrow. By Friday, Debby’s rain and flooding will expand northward to Pennsylvania, Central New Y…
on Aug 7
From theeyewall.com
Debby’s flooding continues to swamp parts of the Southeast and will spread north
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Headlines Heavy rain from Debby will continue to impact South Carolina today and tomorrow. Heavy rain expands northward after tomorrow with flash flooding likely into North Carolina and Virginia. C…
on Aug 6